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Recent Posts
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Top Posts & Pages
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- Queensland leads Australia on obesity
- The 7 habits of highly effective economists - Part 1: Habits 1 to 3 for private victory
- Inflation & interest rates chat with 4BC's Scott Emerson
- ACCC right to call for Qld Gov’t to cut stamp duty on home insurance - $200 in stamp duty on each NQ home insurance policy on average
- What is the fiscal impulse from the Australian Budget?
- Strata ‘Management Rights’ must be reviewed by the Qld Gov’t – guest post by Stephen Thornton
- Concentration of Qld population in SEQ expected to increase with its higher rates of net migration
- AGL Chief Economist to address ESA Qld on National Electricity Market
- Failure of Strong Choices now obvious - missed chance to persuade on asset sales
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Tag Archives: interestrates
RBA review: why it’s necessary and what it should recommend
The RBA is in the spotlight at the moment as there’s a risk its monetary tightening will crash the housing market and broader economy. Arguably, it should have acted earlier to raise rates and to stop its quantitative easing. Even … Continue reading
Global stagflation risk increasing – my latest podcast episode
Earlier this week, the World Bank cut its global economic growth forecast and warned of the risk of 1970s-type global stagflation, with a coincidence of high inflation and low growth and high unemployment. I had already decided to cover stagflation … Continue reading
Posted in Macroeconomy
Tagged australia, economics, fed, inflation, interestrates, monetarypolicy, rba, recession, stagflation, usa, wagepricespiral
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RBA is copying the Fed as Michael Knox forecast
In my previous post, I discussed my latest podcast chat with Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox who forecast the RBA would today increase the cash rate to 0.85%, as it did. As Michael noted, the RBA has been copying the … Continue reading
Posted in Macroeconomy
Tagged australia, cashrate, fed, inflation, interestrates, monetarypolicy, rba, usa
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RBA’s next move: 25, 40, or 50 basis points? Michael Knox says 50 on Economics Explored
Next Tuesday, the RBA will increase the cash rate again, but it’s uncertain by just how much. Reuters is reporting RBA to raise rates a modest 25 bps in June, some call for 40 bps, where bps stands for basis … Continue reading
Posted in Labour market, Macroeconomy
Tagged australia, deficits, economics, fed, gdpgap, inflation, interestrates, monetarypolicy, rba, recession, usa
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Economic update: interest rates, monetary policy, fiscal policy, and coal prices
The election debate would benefit from a clear understanding of the factors affecting interest rates, now that the RBA has increased the cash rate from the “emergency level” of 0.1%, practically the lowest it could go, to the still extraordinarily … Continue reading
Posted in Macroeconomy
Tagged australia, budget, fed, fiscalpolicy, inflation, interestrates, monetarypolicy, moneysupply, qld, queensland, rba
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Economic update and interest rate discussion at Brisbane Club next Wednesday
Australian Treasury Secretary Steven Kennedy nicely summarised the economic outlook in his Opening statement to the Parliament’s Economics Legislation Committee yesterday: Nonetheless, while the disruption caused by Omicron has been significant, its overall economic impact is likely to be less … Continue reading
Posted in Brisbane, Macroeconomy
Tagged australia, brisbaneclub, businessconfidence, covid-19, economicoutlook, inflation, interestrates, omicron, qld
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Inflation & interest rates chat with 4BC’s Scott Emerson
Yesterday afternoon I had a quick chat with Scott Emerson on his 4BC Drive program about the accelerating CPI inflation revealed by the ABS yesterday (see chart above) and what it means for interest rates, with bank chief economists now … Continue reading
Posted in Macroeconomy
Tagged abs, australia, cashrate, cpi, interestrates, moneysupply, rba, uk, usa
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Weekly wrap up – Aussie reopening, Kiwi inflation, oil and petrol prices, and Bitcoin news
My latest Friday livestream covered: accelerating NZ inflation and the implications for interest rates of accelerating inflation in advanced economies more broadly; the great Australian reopening and booming job vacancies (i.e. as noted by the National Skills Commission “Nationally job … Continue reading
Posted in Labour market, Macroeconomy
Tagged australia, bitcoin, bondyields, btc, coronavirus, covid-19, cpi, etf, inflation, interestrates, jobvacancies, lockdowns, nz, qld, queensland, vaccines
2 Comments
Interest rates and inflation with Michael Knox, Chief Economist of Morgans
Jonathan Shapiro has an interesting article in the Financial Review, Why the market has suddenly woken up to inflation, in which he writes: …the lower-for-longer [interest rates] doubters are re-emerging. They believe deliberately slow-to-act central banks in the US and … Continue reading
Posted in Macroeconomy
Tagged australia, bearmarket, bonds, fed, inflation, interestrates, monetarypolicy, qe, quantitativeeasing, rba, usa
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Line of 200 people for Gaythorne open house evidence of relative lack of suitable properties in Brisbane – partly due to restrictive zoning policies
Historic low interest rates and easy access to housing finance, combined with a relative lack of suitable properties in Brisbane’s middle-ring suburbs due to zoning policies, have combined to create an odd sight at suburban Gaythorne on Brisbane’s North-side today, … Continue reading
Posted in Brisbane, Housing
Tagged brisbane, buildingapprovals, coronavirus, covid-19, gaythorne, heritageprotection, housing, interestrates, lending, propertymarket, zoning
2 Comments
Queensland Economy Watch 