Tag Archives: interestrates

Interest rates and inflation with Michael Knox, Chief Economist of Morgans

Jonathan Shapiro has an interesting article in the Financial Review, Why the market has suddenly woken up to inflation, in which he writes: …the lower-for-longer [interest rates] doubters are re-emerging. They believe deliberately slow-to-act central banks in the US and … Continue reading

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Line of 200 people for Gaythorne open house evidence of relative lack of suitable properties in Brisbane – partly due to restrictive zoning policies

Historic low interest rates and easy access to housing finance, combined with a relative lack of suitable properties in Brisbane’s middle-ring suburbs due to zoning policies, have combined to create an odd sight at suburban Gaythorne on Brisbane’s North-side today, … Continue reading

Posted in Brisbane, Housing | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

What’s going on with the Aussie dollar – my latest video

Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox wrote a great note a couple of weeks ago on Why is the Australian dollar so strong. It’s a nice, clear description of what’s been happening to the Australian dollar in recent months. Michael concluded … Continue reading

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QEW week that was video – coal, negative gearing & the economic outlook

Posts from me and other commentators mentioned or alluded to in this video include: Housing industry round table with Treasurer Frydenberg at Parliament House Latest Qld wages growth and Qld labour market summary from Nick Behrens WTF happened to BNE-CNS? … Continue reading

Posted in Cairns, China, Climate change, Housing, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Qld: hot or not? My presentation at the Brisbane Club on Wednesday 6 February

It was a great day to give an economic outlook presentation, with RBA Governor Philip Lowe announcing a change in monetary policy guidance, from saying the next rate movement would most likely be up, to saying the cash rate may … Continue reading

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Michael Knox on why the RBA won’t hike interest rates any time soon

In today’s Financial Review, economics correspondent Jacob Greber observed: The RBA has gone more than seven years now without raising interest rates, the longest span since the official cash rate was introduced in the early 1990s. Indeed, on Melbourne Cup … Continue reading

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RBA making it up as it goes along

After a speech by Assistant RBA Governor Michele Bullock yesterday, there is speculation about the RBA pushing APRA to instruct banks to further restrain their lending to housing investors- strengthening the so-called macro-prudential regulation that has had only limited success … Continue reading

Posted in Housing, Macroeconomy, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 6 Comments

Recommended holiday reading: The Man Who Knew

The best economics and finance book of 2016 is undoubtedly Sebastian Mallaby’s masterful biography of former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, The Man Who Knew. Greenspan was the man who knew that superficially healthy economies, with steady economic growth and … Continue reading

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US recovery on track, while Australian economists wait anxiously for latest National Accounts

The latest US jobs data show an economy that is growing quite nicely, with 178,000 new jobs over the last month, and with unemployment falling to 4.6%, its lowest rate since the financial crisis (see chart below). However, the market … Continue reading

Posted in Agriculture, Macroeconomy, Mining, North Queensland, Townsville, Uncategorized | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

New motor vehicle sales lower in Qld than before financial crisis

New motor vehicle sales data for April released by the ABS yesterday support the RBA Board’s decision to cut the cash rate on Budget day earlier this month, with sales down 2.5% in April nationwide, and down 7.7% in Queensland, … Continue reading

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