Tag Archives: abs

Aussie unemployment & underemployment video

In my latest video, I expand on my post from last Monday True Queensland unemployment rate around 12% and discuss just how bad the Australian labour market is at the moment. Thanks to those readers who commented on the post … Continue reading

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True Qld unemployment rate around 12%

The true Queensland unemployment rate is around 12% rather than the official 7.9%. I’m not suggesting the ABS is being tricky. The ABS is accurately applying the internationally accepted Labour Force Statistics methodology. But we must look beyond the ABS … Continue reading

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Official Qld unemployment rate of 7.9% doesn’t tell the full story

It’s obvious the official unemployment rate figures from the ABS are understating the true unemployment rate due to large numbers of people having left the labour force, evidenced by the collapse in the workforce participation rate. The official estimates for … Continue reading

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Jobs coming back as economy reopens

The AFR’s Matthew Cranston has nicely summarised the latest payroll data published by the ABS yesterday in his article Job market crawls off floor as recovery begins: The worst appears to be over in the job market with Tax Office … Continue reading

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Qld jobless rate at 6.8% but effectively over 10%

This afternoon I caught up with Ben Scott, who works as a Research Assistant in my business Adept Economics, to discuss the April Labour Force data published by the ABS today, as well as the possible shape of the eventual … Continue reading

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State and regional unemployment rates in this time of COVID-19 with Pete Faulkner

Mission Beach-based economist Pete Faulkner from Conus Consulting has been in the news recently with his estimates of the massive adverse impacts that measures to combat coronavirus are having on Queensland’s regional economies (e.g. see the InQueensland report Jobless numbers … Continue reading

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Catch up on COVID-19 with CCIQ Chief Economist Dr Marcus Smith – Qld budget impact

I caught up with CCIQ Chief Economist Dr Marcus Smith earlier today to chat about the latest economic news and the expected impact of the coronavirus shock on the Queensland state budget. You can listen our conversation here: Highlights of … Continue reading

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Higher long-term unemployment a marker of Qld’s under-performance relative to rest of Australia

In its 2019-20 Mid-Year Fiscal and Economic Review released in mid-December, the Queensland Government revised down the state economic outlook, with economic growth revised to 2.5%, down from 3%, and the unemployment rate revised upwards to 6.25% from 6% for … Continue reading

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Qld private sector spending has been falling while government has continued to grow

In Queensland, our over-reliance on the public sector continues, according to the September quarter National Accounts figures from the ABS, which have reinforced concerns about the strength of the national economy and various state economies, including Queensland’s. The National Accounts … Continue reading

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Overly optimistic reactions to discouraging GDP data

The RBA and the Government must be happy the media is accepting the Bank’s “gentle turning point” view of the Australian economy (e.g. see the AFR’s ‘Back on track’: GDP lifts to 1.7pc), but I can’t see how the September … Continue reading

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