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Recent Posts
- National Electricity Market malfunction of June 2022: my latest podcast episode
- Remarkable turnarounds for Townsville, Mackay, and Cairns
- Why the National Accounts matter: podcast chat with Brendan Markey-Towler
- RBA review: why it’s necessary and what it should recommend
- Qld Gross State Product was up 22% in dollar terms in 2021-22
Top Posts & Pages
- Meat disruption: it’s here and now - guest post by Stephen Thornton
- Heat map of Brisbane metro property prices – big opportunities in the Western corridor?
- Top twenty largest cities and towns in Queensland by population
- Qld Economic Outlook for 2022
- National Electricity Market malfunction of June 2022: my latest podcast episode
- Is Townsville or Cairns the capital of North Qld?
- Cross River Rail cost blowout means project doesn’t stack up
- Qld the fastest growing state with Southerners flocking here: 41k net migration gain in 12 months to Sep-21
- ACCC right to call for Qld Gov’t to cut stamp duty on home insurance - $200 in stamp duty on each NQ home insurance policy on average
- Pick up in thermal coal prices over last month
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Blogroll
Category Archives: Macroeconomy
Why the National Accounts matter: podcast chat with Brendan Markey-Towler
This century’s great trends in the Australian economy are evident in the National Accounts data (Chart 1): a halving of the relative economic contribution of domestic manufacturing, partly due to the car industry shutdown; the periodic resources booms which have … Continue reading
Posted in Macroeconomy
Tagged construction, economics, gdp, manufacturing, mining, national accounts
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RBA review: why it’s necessary and what it should recommend
The RBA is in the spotlight at the moment as there’s a risk its monetary tightening will crash the housing market and broader economy. Arguably, it should have acted earlier to raise rates and to stop its quantitative easing. Even … Continue reading
Qld Gross State Product was up 22% in dollar terms in 2021-22
Hidden in a note to its economic forecasts table in the state budget was the extraordinary estimate from Queensland Treasury that, in nominal dollar terms, the state economy expanded 22% last financial year, 2021-22 (see the chart below based on … Continue reading
Qld state budget: thanks for the billions coal miners, now pay us even more
As I’ve been forecasting for months now, the Queensland state budget is in much better shape than the state Treasury forecast back in December. Higher royalties, stamp duty, and other taxes helped deliver a $1.9 billion operating surplus in 2021-22 … Continue reading
Posted in Budget, Macroeconomy
Tagged coal, debt, qld, qldbudget, qldtreasury, queensland, royalties, stampduty, statebudget
3 Comments
Qld hospitality sector has had stronger recovery than NSW and Victorian sectors
Earlier this month, Queensland Airports boss Amelia Evans was reported by the Courier-Mail as saying that travel was bouncing back strongly. Queensland Airports operates the Gold Coast, Townsville, Mount Isa, and Longreach airports, so Ms Evans would have a good … Continue reading
Posted in Macroeconomy
Tagged abs, australia, cafes, covid-19, hospitality, hotels, qld, queensland, restaurants, tourism
2 Comments
Qld & Australia exporting lower volumes but earning more, due to higher coal and iron ore prices
The pandemic and China’s trade restrictions have no doubt had some adverse effects on commodity volumes exported from Queensland, but super high commodity prices, associated partly with the war in Ukraine, have more than offset those impacts when it comes … Continue reading
Posted in Macroeconomy
Tagged abs, australia, china, coal, exports, ironore, qld, queensland
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Japan is Qld’s top export destination once again, but only by a small margin
Thanks to the Japanese Ambassador for highlighting that Japan has overtaken China to return to being the top destination for Queensland exports, as Japan was for several decades prior to 2013 (see the chart below including data up to April … Continue reading
Posted in Macroeconomy
Tagged abs, australia, beef, china, coal, exports, gas, japan, qld, queensland
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Qld has outperformed rest of Australia this decade so far
The May Labour Force data released by the ABS yesterday confirmed Queensland has outperformed the rest of Australia over the last couple of years. My view is that this is due to a range of factors including a surge in … Continue reading
Posted in Labour market, Macroeconomy
Tagged abs, australia, employment, jobs, labourforce, qld
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Consumer confidence indicators are very concerning
As always it’s important not to read too much into one piece of data, and generally I’ve been optimistic about the Australian economy and even more so about the Queensland economy over 2022-23, but the latest consumer confidence figures are … Continue reading
Global stagflation risk increasing – my latest podcast episode
Earlier this week, the World Bank cut its global economic growth forecast and warned of the risk of 1970s-type global stagflation, with a coincidence of high inflation and low growth and high unemployment. I had already decided to cover stagflation … Continue reading
Posted in Macroeconomy
Tagged australia, economics, fed, inflation, interestrates, monetarypolicy, rba, recession, stagflation, usa, wagepricespiral
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Queensland Economy Watch 