Tag Archives: rba

Global stagflation risk increasing – my latest podcast episode

Earlier this week, the World Bank cut its global economic growth forecast and warned of the risk of 1970s-type global stagflation, with a coincidence of high inflation and low growth and high unemployment. I had already decided to cover stagflation … Continue reading

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RBA is copying the Fed as Michael Knox forecast

In my previous post, I discussed my latest podcast chat with Morgans Chief Economist Michael Knox who forecast the RBA would today increase the cash rate to 0.85%, as it did. As Michael noted, the RBA has been copying the … Continue reading

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RBA’s next move: 25, 40, or 50 basis points? Michael Knox says 50 on Economics Explored

Next Tuesday, the RBA will increase the cash rate again, but it’s uncertain by just how much. Reuters is reporting RBA to raise rates a modest 25 bps in June, some call for 40 bps, where bps stands for basis … Continue reading

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Economic update: interest rates, monetary policy, fiscal policy, and coal prices

The election debate would benefit from a clear understanding of the factors affecting interest rates, now that the RBA has increased the cash rate from the “emergency level” of 0.1%, practically the lowest it could go, to the still extraordinarily … Continue reading

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Housing lending remains at super high levels

First, my thoughts go out to all those affected by the recent flooding in Queensland and northern NSW. The intensity of the rainfall was extraordinary – in Brisbane, 80% of a full year’s rain in a few days reportedly. While, … Continue reading

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Inflation & interest rates chat with 4BC’s Scott Emerson

Yesterday afternoon I had a quick chat with Scott Emerson on his 4BC Drive program about the accelerating CPI inflation revealed by the ABS yesterday (see chart above) and what it means for interest rates, with bank chief economists now … Continue reading

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PM calls jobs boom, RBA warns of crypto crash, and UK inflation highest in 10 years – upcoming livestream

As I’ve been covering on QEW and will discuss on today’s livestream (link above), there’s a lot of exuberance and optimism about the great Aussie reopening, and PM Scott Morrison has forecast a “jobs boom” based on healthy job vacancies … Continue reading

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Young Economists to debate housing affordability measures

There is an interesting upcoming online debate on measures designed to improve housing affordability among young economists on Thursday 16 September 2021, to be hosted by the Young Economists Network of the Economic Society of Australia (ESA). Here’s the blurb:  … Continue reading

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RBA would be right to taper its Quantitative Easing program

There’s a nice article by William McInnes in today’s Financial Review, Economists expect RBA to ease stimulus, which begins:  Economists expect Tuesday’s Reserve Bank board meeting to acknowledge the economy’s surprisingly strong recovery and to signal some tapering of its … Continue reading

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Interest rates and inflation with Michael Knox, Chief Economist of Morgans

Jonathan Shapiro has an interesting article in the Financial Review, Why the market has suddenly woken up to inflation, in which he writes: …the lower-for-longer [interest rates] doubters are re-emerging. They believe deliberately slow-to-act central banks in the US and … Continue reading

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