Tag Archives: nationalaccounts

Threat of rolling lockdowns and longer border closures damaging business confidence

Posted on September 3, 2021 by Gene Tunny

It’s no wonder many in the Queensland business community are anxious and desperate, as the Courier-Mail is reporting, given the Premier’s apparent abandonment of the national plan on reopening the economy (see Queensland business suffering mental and financial health crisis … Continue reading →

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Qld economy’s growth rate reduced by business CAPEX fall

Posted on June 3, 2021 by Gene Tunny

Queensland had the second lowest rate of State Final Demand (SFD) growth in the first quarter of 2021, according to the March quarter National Accounts published by the ABS yesterday. Queensland’s SFD grew at 0.4% compared with a national average … Continue reading →

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Surge in new houses and reno’s offset by slump in non-residential construction in Qld

Posted on May 27, 2021 by Gene Tunny

The ABS’s preliminary estimates of construction activity for March quarter are discouraging for Queensland, with an overall fall of 1.7% since December quarter in seasonally adjusted terms (see chart below). In contrast, construction work done increased by 2.4% nationwide. NSW … Continue reading →

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CommSec’s weird assessment of Victoria’s economic growth as leading the nation in State of the States

Posted on January 28, 2021 by Gene Tunny

This afternoon, Australian Institute for Progress Executive Director Graham Young alerted me to his conversation with 612 ABC Brisbane host Steve Austin and McKell Institute Executive Chair Rachel Nolan yesterday on Steve’s Drive program (from around 2:26:30) regarding the CommSec … Continue reading →

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JobKeeper has been stimulating in multiple ways – evidence from Lush Marcoola

Posted on January 23, 2021 by Gene Tunny

Well done to Matty Holdsworth from the Sunshine Coast Daily for some excellent reporting on the Lush Marcoola brothel which was re-printed in today’s print edition of the Courier-Mail on p. 47: YOUNG men cashed up on JobKeeper payments kept … Continue reading →

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Aussies over-confident after being over-compensated by Gov’t for COVID-recession

Posted on December 9, 2020 by Gene Tunny

Today we learned that, as Reuters reports, Australia consumer sentiment hits 10-year high (see chart above). This is despite Chinese trade restrictions and the looming insolvency tsunami in the new year and the fiscal cliff in April 2021. Sure, given … Continue reading →

Posted in Macroeconomy | Tagged , , , , , | 2 Comments

Qld Gov’t going for broke in COVID response

Posted on September 2, 2020 by Gene Tunny

As well as confirming Australia is in a deep recession, with a 7% fall in GDP in June quarter, the National Accounts published by the ABS earlier today revealed Queensland state and local governments (mostly the state government) are spending … Continue reading →

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Big question now is how long and how deep the recession will be

Posted on June 3, 2020 by Gene Tunny

The March quarter National Accounts released by the ABS today suggest Australia will have two consecutive quarters of negative economic growth in the first half of 2020, and hence the traditional definition of a recession will be satisfied. That said, … Continue reading →

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Overly optimistic reactions to discouraging GDP data

Posted on December 4, 2019 by Gene Tunny

The RBA and the Government must be happy the media is accepting the Bank’s “gentle turning point” view of the Australian economy (e.g. see the AFR’s ‘Back on track’: GDP lifts to 1.7pc), but I can’t see how the September … Continue reading →

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Federal & state spending propping up national & state economies

Posted on September 4, 2019 by Gene Tunny

I feel sorry for Treasurer Josh Frydenberg, who has the duty of talking up the economy regardless of what the National Accounts data are saying. As you’re no doubt aware by now, the June quarter 2019 National Accounts published by … Continue reading →

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