A question you could ask RBA Deputy Governor Guy Debelle at ESA Qld business lunch on 22 August

Ten years after the 2008 financial crisis, economists are still debating whether the policy response at the time was excessive or insufficient (e.g. the excellent recent Macro Musings podcast with Larry Ball on the Lehman collapse) and whether banking needs further reform. In the UK and continental Europe, radical reforms to finance are being contemplated, including by veteran Financial Times columnist Martin Wolf, who last month wrote in support of the radical Vollgeld proposal put to a referendum in Switzerland (see Why the Swiss should vote for “Vollgeld”, which is behind a paywall, sorry).

Vollgeld would have prevented banks from lending out money acquired from depositors on a long-term basis to households or businesses. Instead, the banks would need to hold all the depositors’ money in reserve, in case depositors all wanted to withdraw all their money at once. This would certainly make the system safer, and would prevent banking panics and bank runs, but it would sharply increase the cost of borrowing, unless say the central bank stepped in as a lender to households and businesses, which appears to have been part of the Vollgeld plan. In my view, the Swiss were eminently sensible in rejecting this radical proposal, with 76 percent voting against it at the referendum last month.

That said, I acknowledge the 2008 financial crisis highlighted the too-big-to-fail problem with major financial institutions, which means government bailouts appear inevitable in times of financial crisis, and it is widely agreed this problem has not yet been fixed. So I’m pleased there is extensive debate about banking regulations, even if I disagree with many of the radical proposals.

Incidentally, one of the most interesting proposals for large-scale reform of banking has come from Australian economist Nicholas Gruen, who I work with from time-to-time on consulting projects. Gruen would have the RBA take deposits from households just as it takes deposits from banks. The RBA would also lend money to households against safe collateral (e.g. a home, but only up to 60 percent of its value). The justification advanced appears to be that the provision of bank accounts and payment services could soon solely be done electronically, and could be a natural monopoly which may be best placed in a central bank. As Martin Wolf, who referred to Nicholas Gruen’s proposal in his FT article on Vollgeld, noted:

“The technological reasons for branch banking are, after all, perishing quickly.”

Note that Gruen has posted a letter he wrote to the FT on his proposal at Club Troppo:

My letter to the Financial Times: All finance requires is an upgrade for the internet age

It would be good to know what the RBA thinks about proposals to reform the financial system along the lines of Vollgeld or the Gruen proposal. Fortuitously, for those of us in Brisbane, there is the opportunity to ask a very senior RBA official about these proposals at an upcoming lunch.

The Economic Society of Australia (QLD), of which I’m one of the Vice Presidents, is privileged to be hosting a lunch at the Hilton Hotel, Brisbane on 22 August featuring RBA Deputy Governor Guy Debelle:

ESA Qld Business Lunch – Guy Debelle, Deputy Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia

There are still tickets available, and I would encourage you to attend if you can. The RBA typically does not announce the topics of its upcoming speeches, but there is no doubt the Deputy Governor’s address will be on an important economic issue and will attract much media and market interest.

guy-debelle

RBA Deputy Governor Guy Debelle

Advertisements
This entry was posted in Macroeconomy, Uncategorized and tagged , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

6 Responses to A question you could ask RBA Deputy Governor Guy Debelle at ESA Qld business lunch on 22 August

  1. Graham Young says:

    Well, there goes that question. 🙂

    I think I should buy a ticket.

    And I agree with you on the Vollgeld proposal. There seems to be a Douglas Social Credit version of what happens in banking around that doesn’t accord with reality. Had a short argument with Darren Nelson the other day on the issue. Suggested he check out a bank balance sheet and let me know where all this extra money is supposed to be showing!

    Graham

  2. Debelle is a nice fellow – as is the current Governor, though I’ve never heard the latter ever say anything interesting – have you?

    Perhaps he thinks that’s his job, but I think Guy will say more interesting things.

    But in this case I think he’ll avoid saying anything interesting too! 😉

  3. [SPP003 Email Header_HR.jpg]
    Hi Gene,
    I enjoy your informative and objective commentary.
    I’m working on a blog of my own and was hoping that you could provide me with some general guidance re where I can find details about government assets owned by each of Australia’s 8 states and territories?

    2018 REIQ Awards For Excellence ‘Buyer’s Agency Of The Year’ – WINNER
    2017 Telstra Business Of The Year – QUEENSLAND FINALIST
    2017 REIQ Awards For Excellence ‘Buyer’s Agency Of The Year’ – FINALIST
    2016 REIQ Awards For Excellence ‘Small Residential Agency Of The Year’- WINNER
    2015 REIA Hall Of Fame
    2015 REIQ Awards For Excellence ‘Buyer’s Agent Of The Year’- FINALIST
    2014+2013+2012 REIQ Awards For Excellence ‘Buyer’s Agent Of The Year’- WINNER
    2014+2013+2012 REIA Awards For Excellence ‘Buyer’s Agent Of The Year’- WINNER

    Kindest Regards,
    Simon Pressley QPIA®, Dip FP, Dip FMBM, ComDec
    [REIA_NAE_Winner14.jpg]Head of Property Market Research
    Managing Director, Propertyology

    [SP.jpg]T 1300 65 40 70
    M 0417 634 096
    E simon@propertyology.com.au
    W http://www.propertyology.com.au
    Level 13, 269 Wickham St, (P.O. Box 1341)
    Fortitude Valley QLD 4006

    For market research and samples of properties we have successfully purchased http://www.facebook.com/propertyology or http://www.twitter.com/SimonPressley

    This email is intended only for the use of the recipient named above and may contain confidential and privileged information. If you are not the intended recipient you are hereby notified that any dissemination, distribution or copying of this email is prohibited. If you have received this email in error please notify us immediately by return email and delete/destroy the original message. Propertyology has taken reasonable steps to ensure the accuracy and integrity of all its communications, but accepts no liability for materials transmitted. Propertyology, its directors and employees do not accept liability for the results of any actions taken, or not, on the basis of the information in this transmission. Materials may also be transmitted without the knowledge of Propertyology. You should scan this email and any attachment for viruses.

    • Gene Tunny says:

      Hi Simon, thanks. Off the top of my head the budget papers for each state and territory would be a good place to look in the first instance. Let me have a think about it and get back to you.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

w

Connecting to %s