Growing interstate migration to Qld reflects improving economy & relatively more affordable house prices

As well as releasing the first batch of 2016 Census data, the ABS also updated its quarterly population estimates yesterday, and I was very pleased to see net interstate migration to Queensland is picking up nicely (see chart below). This likely reflects both the improving economic conditions in Queensland since mid-2016 and the increased relative affordability of housing in Brisbane compared with Sydney and Melbourne.

NIM_Dec16

Queensland’s total population is growing at 1.5 percent per annum, just below the national average of 1.6 percent (see the Queensland Treasury brief). Queensland has fallen below the national population growth rate as we have not had the rebound in net overseas migration seen in other States (e.g. see chart below; NB I’ve presented this in annual terms because the quarterly data are highly seasonal).

NOM_16

Spare a thought for State and local officials in NSW and Victoria who are having to manage the large absolute population growth that is occurring down there. As property market guru Pete Wargent noted yesterday:

Melbourne population growth blows the blinkin’ doors off

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2 Responses to Growing interstate migration to Qld reflects improving economy & relatively more affordable house prices

  1. Russell says:

    Hi Gene, dare I run the risk of appearing xenophobic and suggesting that one of the reasons QLD net migration is picking up may be because overseas migration is less than for Sydney and Melbourne. Perhaps this will become a selling point for domestic migration to QLD (Brisbane). Come to the place that is more like “real” Australia. I will leave it there.

    • Gene Tunny says:

      Russell, thanks for the comment. An interesting hypothesis. Certainly high immigration to southern states would add to congestion and stretch public services, so it may well increase the relative attractiveness of Qld.

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